{"id":184996,"date":"2023-09-18T09:41:35","date_gmt":"2023-09-18T09:41:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/indiansapidnews.com\/?p=184996"},"modified":"2023-09-18T09:41:35","modified_gmt":"2023-09-18T09:41:35","slug":"falling-rupee-how-to-plan-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/indiansapidnews.com\/celebrity\/falling-rupee-how-to-plan-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Falling Rupee: How To Plan Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"
The impact of currency depreciation can be mitigated by holding a portion of your investment portfolio in dollar-denominated assets.<\/strong><\/p>\n Over the past year, the rupee has depreciated 3.07 per cent while over three years it has declined at an annualised rate of 4.18 per cent against the US dollar.<\/p>\n Driven by trade deficit<\/strong><\/p>\n The massive demand for the US dollar is a key reason for the rupee’s weakness.<\/p>\n “India requires huge amounts of imports on a continuous basis. Our exports, by comparison, are small. Hence, our trade position doesn’t support a strong rupee,” says Joseph Thomas, head of research, Emkay Wealth Management.<\/p>\n Interest rate differential also plays a part.<\/p>\n “During times when interest rates in the US rise rapidly within a short period, capital flows out of India as foreign portfolio investors prefer to invest in the US, instead of emerging markets, debt,” says Abhishek Kumar, a Securities and Exchange Board of India or Sebi-registered investment advisor and founder, SahajMoney.<\/p>\n Goals that get impacted<\/strong><\/p>\n A number of parents want to send their children abroad for graduate and post-graduate education.<\/p>\n International travel is also high on the priority list of many Indians.<\/p>\n Some parents also want to support their child, who has moved to the US, in purchasing a house.<\/p>\n “Non-resident Indians, who have invested the bulk of their money in India, but propose to stay abroad after retirement, would also bear the brunt of a sharp depreciation,” says Deepesh Raghaw, a Sebi RIA.<\/p>\n Plan for depreciation<\/strong><\/p>\n If you have dollar-denominated goals, you need to factor currency depreciation into your financial planning.<\/p>\n “Suppose you plan to send your child to the US for higher education where education inflation is, say, 5 per cent. And you wish to factor in a 4 per cent annual currency depreciation rate.<\/p>\n “So, plan for a 9 per cent increase each year in the value of this goal,” says Vishal Dhawan, chief financial planner, Plan Ahead Wealth Advisors.<\/p>\n Investors who have not done such planning will have to defer their goal, alter its frequency, or divert money saved for other goals.<\/p>\n In the case of child’s education, which can’t be deferred, the only option is to divert money from another goal.<\/p>\n In the case of travel, you can go every, say, three years instead of two.<\/p>\n Alternatively, you could opt for a less expensive destination or one where the currency impact is less pronounced.<\/p>\n The impact of currency depreciation can also be mitigated by holding a portion of your investment portfolio in dollar-denominated assets.<\/p>\n Invest in international funds<\/strong><\/p>\n When you invest in an international fund-of-fund, your rupee investment gets converted to dollar.<\/p>\n The dollar amount is used to buy units of the parent fund. When you sell, those units get sold.<\/p>\n The dollar amount obtained is converted into rupee. Because of the rupee’s depreciation, the amount you obtain is higher.<\/p>\n Investors can also take the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS) route and remit $250,000 abroad annually.<\/p>\n This route opens up a massive number of international equity and debt exchange-traded and index funds, active funds, and stocks, but tax compliance becomes more onerous.<\/p>\n “When investing in international equities, have at least a 7 to 10-year horizon. If valuations in the US market are high, take the systematic investment plan route,” says Dhawan.<\/p>\n Don’t allow recency bias to affect you. It is impossible to predict whether Indian or US equities will outperform in the future.<\/p>\n “If 20 per cent of the money you require will be for international goals, then have 20 per cent of your portfolio in international assets,” says Dhawan.<\/p>\n Take exposure to yellow metal<\/strong><\/p>\n Gold is priced in US dollars in the international market.<\/p>\n “Its Indian price is a function of its international price and exchange rate (plus import duty). When the rupee depreciates against the US dollar, the currency hedging happens automatically,” says Kumar.<\/p>\n Gold is a speculative asset. “It doesn’t generate cash flows. Its price is purely a function of demand and supply,” says Raghaw.<\/p>\n It can also be quite volatile. Kumar suggests allocating 5 to 10 per cent of your portfolio to gold.<\/p>\n Invest with a long-term horizon as the yellow metal can underperform for long periods.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Disclaimer: This article is meant for information purposes only. This article and information do not constitute a distribution, an endorsement, an investment advice, an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities\/schemes or any other financial products\/investment products mentioned in this article to influence the opinion or behaviour of the investors\/recipients.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n Any use of the information\/any investment and investment related decisions of the investors\/recipients are at their sole discretion and risk. Any advice herein is made on a general basis and does not take into account the specific investment objectives of the specific person or group of persons. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n Feature Presentation: Ashish Narsale\/Rediff.com<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n
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